Myth of lotto wheels, reduced lotto systems

Top: Myth of lotto wheels, loto wheels, lottery wheels, lotto systems.

The myth of lotto wheels or abbreviated lotto systems

By Ion Saliu, Wheeling Programmer At-Large

Written by Ion Saliu on July 15, 2002
1. Introductory notes to the myth of lotto wheels
I say in one of my posts ("Comparative lottery lotto software programs+ Strategies 101"): "The game of blackjack has its myth: CARD COUNTING. The lottery has two myths: 'frequency reports' (cold/hot numbers!) and 'lotto wheels'."
Actually, the lotto wheels do more harm than good. The net results of the so-called abbreviated lotto systems or wheels: They accelerate the loss. (Well, isn't acceleration what the wheel is all about?) The so-called experts have always stressed the 'advantage' of wheeling the lotto numbers. (The stress always breaks the wheel, doesn't it?) Granted, many people honestly believe the lotto wheels create an advantage. But for a number of “experts” the lotto wheels really create an advantage: They sell wheels or wheeling software. (Nothing wrong with that: The wheel created big industries, such as wagon making, and tires, and Le Tour de France.)

2. Mathematical and statistical analysis of lotto wheels performance
We was about to be cheated in a wheel-and-deal scenario. All of a sudden, the ol' good LotWon showed how damaging the lotto wheels can be. It struck me that the combination lexicographical order can be a tool in creating wheels. I used COLORDER.EXE to create lotto wheels based on the official lottery odds. For example, the probability of getting '3 of 6' in a 6/49 game is '1 in 57'. They say the “world record” for a 49-number wheel guaranteeing '3 of 6' is 163 combinations. I say to myself: ”Self, why not 57 combinations?” I ran my 'combination lexicographical order' wheel against a real draw file (UK lottery, 642 draws). The 57-line wheel very closely followed the lotto odds. But why did I need to put all that effort in creating a wheel? Wasn't it easier to simply play 57 random combinations? I put “MDIEditor and Lotto” to work. I generated several 57-combination sets. I checked all of them for winners against the same UK draws file. The results were strikingly similar to the first case. Every 57-line set (wheel) very closely followed the lotto odds. Here is how the last random set fared:
Total Hits: 0 '6 of 6'; 0 '5 of 6'; 41 '4 in 6'; 666 '3 in 6'
Total Cost: 642 x 57 = 36,594 units
Total Winnings: (666 x 10) + (41 x 100) = 10,760 units
Net Loss: 25,834 units.
How 'bout the “world champion”, the 163-combination wheel guaranteeing 100%+ '3 in 6'? Well, that wheel, too, followed closely the official lotto odds: Total Hits: 0 '6 of 6'; 1 '5 of 6'; 104 '4 in 6'; 1872 '3 in 6'
Total Cost: 642 x 163 = 104,646 units
Total Winnings: (1872 x 10) + (104 x 100) + (1 * 3000) = 32,120 units
Net Loss: 72,526 units.

The bottom line is far more significant than any of the elements leading to it.
They say: “The more you play, the higher the winning probability.” Well, think again! In most situations, the more you play, the more you lose! That's because the 'house advantage' or the 'house edge' is applied to higher quantities. “The more you play, the higher the winning probability” is valid only in rare situations. It is the case of mathematically founded strategies. The player must overcome not only the odds, but also the 'percentage advantage'.
The casinos LOVE when the players bet big, and then bigger. With one notable exception: The casino executives would love "to strangulate" the system players who bet big and bigger.
There is a plethora of terms describing the additional obstacle the players face. 'House advantage', 'house edge', 'percentage advantage', 'takeout', 'vigourish' (?)… I think of a unified term, defined with more precision. The lottery commissions “ take out” 50% of ticket sales, therefore distributing 50% to prizes. But the 'house edge' is not necessarily 50%: It depends on a specific game and prize. The best term is player's disadvantage. For example, in a lotto 6/49 game, the odds of winning the jackpot are '1 in 13,983,816'; if the winner is paid $1,000,000 for a $1 winning ticket, the player's disadvantage is {1 – 1000000/13983816} = {1 – 0.0715) = 92.8%. At the double-zero roulette, the probability of winning a straight-up bet is '1 in 38'. The casino plays $36 for a $1 winning bet. The player's disadvantage is {1 – 36/38} = {1 – 0.9474} = 5.26%.
The two reports (fragments) are at the end of this writing. You can replicate them for any data file (real draws) and any wheel. Randomly generated or painfully designed. You can use great freeware to assist you. In addition to “MDIEditor and Lotto”, “Winners.exe” is a very helpful tool. It can check for winning numbers in just about any lottery game.
3. Honest opinion on lotto wheels and number wheeling
I put some trust in lotto wheeling. It happened quite some time ago, last millennium! I had at my fingertips a very serious wheeling book: "Swedish Lotto Systems" by Thomas H. Olsson. The book was first published in Sweden by Chavez Nyman Trading, 1985. It was published in the USA by Intergalactic Publishing Company in 1986.
The book presented a variety of abbreviated systems for 6-number lotto games. It also showed the winning guarantees or percentages for several situations: 'N in 6', 'N in 5', 'N in 4'. But then again, those wheels have extra lines, compared to the odds of the game.
I even improved on some of the wheels in "Swedish Lotto Systems", while playing with COLORDER.EXE. The book had a 10-number system in 5 lines; I did it in 3 combinations (exactly the odds!). The book had an 11-number system in 11 lines; I did it in 5 combinations. I even created an 18-number system in 19 combinations. While it is not 100% guaranteed for a particular drawing, it does follow the 6/18 odds for '4 of 6'. If successful 10 times, it will hit '4 of 6' around 10 times! Probably better than that!
• Forget about designed loto wheels! Better still, forget about lottery wheels altogether!
The wheels only make money for those who sell lottery software. The lotto wheels and wheeling are the essence of all lottery software, except for LotWon. Some pushed the envelope so hard, that everything in lotto is now a...wheel! It is the only justification left for most lotto software packages. They say now full wheels. That's an oxymoron, a contradiction in terms. The lotto wheels are, in fact, reduced lotto systems. On the other hand, full is a reference to all the combinations of a loto set. Wheeling lotto numbers is a way of reducing the number of combinations to play, instead of playing all lotto numbers in a set. They can't have it both ways: full and reduced!
•

* 10 numbers, 100% '4 of 6', 3 combinations 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 3 4 8 9 10 2 5 6 7 9 10 * 11 numbers, 100% '4 of 6', 5 combinations 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 8 9 10 11 1 3 5 8 10 11 2 3 5 7 9 10 4 6 7 8 9 11 * 18 numbers, '4 of 6', 19 combinations (NOT 100% per draw, but in the long run) 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 5 9 10 16 1 3 4 7 9 16 1 3 8 14 17 18 1 4 8 13 15 16 1 6 7 9 10 15 1 9 10 11 12 17 2 3 6 8 14 17 2 4 6 8 12 15 2 5 7 12 14 16 2 7 9 10 13 17 3 4 6 7 14 18 3 5 7 10 15 16 3 7 8 13 14 18 4 5 7 10 11 12 4 7 8 11 15 18 5 6 8 14 16 18 5 12 13 14 16 17 7 8 12 13 15 17

LOTTO-6 Winning Number Checking Files: RAND57.649 (57) against > UK-6 (642) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Line Combinations 6 5 4 3 no. Checked Hits Hits Hits Hits ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 8 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 23 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 72 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 73 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 79 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 101 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 130 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 211 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 322 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 371 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 488 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 527 1 4 12 14 19 20 48 in draw # 573 ......... ......... 56 7 22 37 39 43 46 in draw # 362 56 7 22 37 39 43 46 in draw # 404 56 7 22 37 39 43 46 in draw # 515 56 7 22 37 39 43 46 in draw # 631 57 17 18 20 26 27 35 in draw # 208 57 17 18 20 26 27 35 in draw # 251 57 17 18 20 26 27 35 in draw # 335 57 17 18 20 26 27 35 in draw # 364 57 17 18 20 26 27 35 in draw # 384 57 17 18 20 26 27 35 in draw # 455 57 17 18 20 26 27 35 in draw # 480 57 17 18 20 26 27 35 in draw # 487 57 17 18 20 26 27 35 in draw # 558 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total Hits: 0 0 41 666 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total Cost: 642 x 57 = 36,594 units Total Winnings: (666 x 10) + (41 x 100) = 10,760 units Net Loss: 25,834 units LOTTO-6 Winning Number Checking Files: WHEEL36.163 (163) against > UK-6 (642) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Line Combinations 6 5 4 3 no. Checked Hits Hits Hits Hits ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 32 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 60 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 258 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 288 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 346 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 350 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 397 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 425 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 463 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 474 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 516 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 536 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 583 1 1 2 3 4 5 49 in draw # 621 2 1 2 6 11 17 20 in draw # 11 2 1 2 6 11 17 20 in draw # 14 ......... ......... 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 66 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 89 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 154 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 213 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 232 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 333 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 370 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 374 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 513 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 569 163 38 39 40 41 42 47 in draw # 580 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total Hits: 0 1 104 1872 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total Cost: 642 x 163 = 104,646 units Total Winnings: (1872 x 10) + (104 x 100) + (1 * 3000) = 32,120 units Net Loss: 72,526 units

4. Essential resources in lotto wheels and lottery wheeling
• Data analyses show beyond doubt that the lotto wheels are beaten by random play. The wheels are optimized for their specific guarantees. That is, a '4 of 6' lotto wheel performs well as far as the '4 of 6' prize is concerned. At the same time, the wheel performs worse at hitting higher prizes (5 of 6, for example). But if one has a strategy that picks the best to play 18 numbers, one is better served if playing random combinations consisting of the 18 numbers. If the 18-number wheel consisted of 19 combinations (the odds of getting exactly '4 of 6' for 18 lotto-6 numbers), it will hit the '4 of 6' prize according to the odds. The player improves the chance of hitting '5 of 6', even '6 of 6' if playing 19 random combinations of the same 18 numbers. A short explanation for this assessment founded on thorough data analysis: Lotto is random; wheeling is less random, since the combinations are hand-built. Randomization is the key explanation. My lotto freeware can be easily set to play only certain numbers. The numbers to be eliminated from the field can be written at the top of the 'LEAST' files. In MDIEditor and Lotto the numbers NOT to be played can be typed directly in the filter input form.
• There is also another major factor: the lexicographical order or the index of the combinations in the set. A wheeled set such as the wheel “champion” has a horrendous configuration as far as the indexes are concerned. Half of its combinations have an index of over 13 million! That is, half of the wheel lines are from the bottom million of the 6/49 set! Read this page to see the wheel-163 indexes compared to a 57-line set with very symmetrical lexicographical order indexes:
• "Wheels, balanced lotto wheels, lexicographical order, index, number set".
I do not recommend wheeling lotto numbers anymore. You still want to play lotto wheels from time to time? Or, you want to test if lotto wheeling works better than random play? Well, then, you can use my free lotto 5, 6, 7-wheels packages: SYSTEM6.EXE, WHEEL5.EXE, WHEEL7.EXE. The wheels are balanced. Keep in mind that they are also randomized—a keyword here. The randomized wheels perform better than ordinary wheels. The lexicographic indexes are very important. You may test this statement, or any other. The testing software is also free, plus other freeware at this site. Testing will come at no cost to you; playing the wheels will cost you an arm and a leg, however. Read the article presenting the free lotto system packages:
• "The best free lotto 5, lotto 6, lotto 7 wheels, reduced systems: balanced and randomized".

Essential Resources In Lotto, Lottery Wheeling, Wheels
Here is a list of my writings on the topic of lotto wheels or abbreviated (reduced) systems and lottery wheeling in general.

WHEEL632 and SUPER632 available as freeware — the best on-the-fly wheeling software; applies real lottery filtering.
Freeware for wheel buffs: Fill out lotto wheels with player's lotto picks (numbers).
Software to verify lotto wheels for missing combinations and generate lotto 5, 6 systems.

Wheels, balanced lotto wheels, lexicographic order, index, number set.
Comprehensive Generating: Exponents, Permutations, Arrangements, Combinations, Powerball, Mega Millions, Euromillions, Horseracing.
Check WHEEL and lotto wheels for winners.

The best free lotto 5, lotto 6, lotto 7 wheels, reduced systems: balanced and randomized.
Genuine Powerball wheels.
Genuine Mega Millions wheels.
Genuine Euromillions wheels.

Use the faster, 32-bit WHEEL-632.EXE.
WHEEL.EXE is the preferred choice.
Wheel-6 wheeling software filters.
Improve the efficiency of big-number wheels (49 numbers, 3 in 6).
Wheeling lotto Powerball wheel wheels system systems.
Fundamental Formula of Wheeling.
Wheeling lotto numbers, playing wheels or reduced lotto systems

Check out also:
Resources in Lotto, Lottery: Theory, Mathematics, Software

Of course, everybody loves to feast on great software, especially when it is free! My lotto wheeling software (and other categories) is absolutely free to run, for an unlimited period of time. However, only the registered members have a right to download the software. Membership requires a nominal fee — the most reasonable there is to connect to the greatest and most useful software ever created. No kidding! Read the conditions to becoming a registered member: Download Great Free Software: Paid Membership Required.

Download free software from the downloads site:
Wheel-632.exe, Wheel-532.exe, the best on-the-fly wheeling software; applies real lottery filtering.
~ Superseded by the most powerful integrated packages Pick532.EXE, Pick532.EXE and, especially, the Bright software packages.
Combinations.exe, the universal combinations generator for any lotto, Keno, Powerball, Mega Millions, Euromillions, horse racing;
LexicoWheels.EXE, generator of lotto wheels based on lexicographical indexing; applies to any lotto, Keno, Powerball, Mega Millions, Euromillions.
WheelCheck5.EXE, WheelCheck6.EXE, software to verify lotto wheels for missing combinations and generate lotto-5 and lotto6 systems.
LottoWheeler.EXE, free wheeling software: fill out lotto wheels with player lotto numbers.

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Comments:
: : The myth of lotto wheels or reduced lottery systems. The lottery has two myths: 'frequency reports' (cold/hot numbers!) and lotto wheels or lottery wheels. In truth, the lotto wheels do more harm than good. The net results of the so-called abbreviated lotto systems or lottery wheels: They accelerate the loss. The so-called lotto experts have always stressed the 'advantage' of wheeling the lotto numbers. Granted, many people honestly believe the lotto wheels create an advantage. But for a number of “lotto experts” the lotto wheels really create an advantage: They sell lottery wheels or wheeling software. I used COLORDER.EXE to create lotto wheels based on the official lottery odds. For example, the probability of getting '3 of 6' in a 6/49 game is '1 in 57'. They say the “world record” for a 49-number wheel guaranteeing '3 of 6' is 163 combinations. Studies on Myth of lotto wheels, loto wheels, lottery wheels, abbreviated lotto systems. You can replicate them reports for any data file (real draws) and any lotto wheel. Randomly generated lottery wheels or painfully designed lotto wheels. You can use great freeware to assist you. In addition to “MDIEditor and Lotto” check for winning lotto numbers in just about any lottery game. I put some trust in lotto wheeling. It happened quite some time ago, last millennium! I had at my fingertips a very serious wheeling book: "Swedish Lotto Systems" by Thomas H. Olsson. The book presented a variety of abbreviated systems for 6-number lotto games. But those lotto wheels have extra lines, compared to the odds of the game. I even improved on some of the wheels in "Swedish Lotto Systems", while playing with COLORDER.EXE. The book had a 10-number system in 5 lines; I did it in 3 combinations (exactly the odds!). The book had an 11-number lotto system in 11 lines; I did it in 5 combinations. I even created an 18-number system in 19 combinations. While it is not 100% guaranteed for a particular drawing, it does follow the 6/18 lotto odds for '4 of 6'. If successful 10 times, it will hit '4 of 6' around 10 times! The original , honest presentation of "Wheels, wheeling, abbreviated lotto systems, reduced, wheel, lottery, system, myth of lotto wheels, loto, loterie, loteria, wheeling numbers". Forget about designed lotto wheels! Better still, forget about lottery wheels altogether! The best lotto 5, lotto 6, lotto 7 wheels, reduced systems loto lottery wheels: balanced randomized www.saliu.com. Get them at saliu.com: THE BEST EVER LOTTO WHEELS, LOTO WHEELS, SYSTEMS. That is, a '4 of 6' lotto wheel performs well as far as the '4 of 6' prize is concerned. At the same time, the wheel performs worse at hitting higher prizes (5 of 6, for example). But if one has a strategy that picks the best to play 18 numbers, one is better served if playing random combinations consisting of the 18 numbers. If the 18-number wheel consisted of 19 combinations (the odds of getting exactly '4 of 6' for 18 lotto-6 numbers), it will hit the '4 of 6' prize according to the odds. The player improves the chance of hitting '5 of 6', even '6 of 6' if playing 19 random combinations of the same 18 numbers. A short explanation for this assessment founded on thorough data analysis: Lotto is random; lottery wheeling is less random, since the combinations are hand-built. My lotto software can be easily set to play only certain numbers. A wheeled set such as the wheel “champion” has a horrendous configuration as far as the indexes are concerned. Half of its combinations have an index of over 13 million! That is, half of the wheel lines are from the bottom million of the 6/49 set! Read this page to see the wheel-163 indexes compared to a 57-line set with very symmetrical lexicographical order indexes: Wheels, balanced lotto wheels, lexicographical order, index, number set. I do not recommend wheeling lotto numbers anymore. You still want to play lotto wheels from time to time? Or, you want to test if lotto wheeling works better than random play? Fundamental Formula of Wheeling: Forget about designed lotto wheels! Better still, forget about wheels altogether! Wheel: 10 numbers, '4 of 6', 4 combinations. Wheel: 11 numbers, '4 of 6', 6 combinations. Wheel: 18 numbers, '4 of 6', 19 combinations. The lotto wheels or abbreviated lotto systems are myths. Wheels accelerate net loss to harm Players. Lotto Wheeling must be done cautiously. Title: The myth, danger of lotto wheels or abbreviated lotto systems - beware! Look at the lotto wheels or abbreviated lotto and lottery systems as pure myths. The lotto wheels make you play many more combinations for lower prizes. Lotto wheeling should be avoided. About their lotto wheels, lottery wheeling, abbreviated lotto systems, wheel, lottery, system. Their myths of lotto wheels in loto, loterie, loteria, lottery.

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